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And now it's global COOLING
LennyLen
Member #5,313
December 2004
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so I don't have to keep participating in the same debate over and over.

You can't just not participate?

Chris Katko
Member #1,881
January 2002
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LennyLen said:

You can't just not participate?

Clearly, you over-estimate my abilities.

-----sig:
“Programs should be written for people to read, and only incidentally for machines to execute.” - Structure and Interpretation of Computer Programs
"Political Correctness is fascism disguised as manners" --George Carlin

Gideon Weems
Member #3,925
October 2003

You guys need to cool down.

:D:D:D

pkrcel
Member #14,001
February 2012

It's perverse, cause disccussions get hotter and thus climate does as well. :-/

It is unlikely that Google shares your distaste for capitalism. - Derezo
If one had the eternity of time, one would do things later. - Johan Halmén

gnolam
Member #2,030
March 2002
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First off: WUWT again. They take Christopher Monckton seriously, for chrissakes. Quoting them on climate change is like quoting NaturalNews in a discussion about medicine.
Second: I've already refuted that one. Watch the video.

kikabo said:

I've been confused about this for a while, can someone clear a question up for me?

Why is it that any discussion on climate change always ends up debating whether it is caused by man or not? , I sort of look at that logic as like saying "if you got lung cancer naturally instead of through smoking then it's not really an issue worth worrying about"... isn't it irrelevant?

Mostly, it's been a "moving the goalposts" tactic. It started out as a flat denial that the Earth is warming. When that became untenable, it switched to "Ok, so the Earth is warming, but it totally isn't our fault, so we can't do anything about it". The step after that is "Ok, the Earth is warming, it's our fault, but it's too expensive to do anything about it".

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raynebc
Member #11,908
May 2010

I don't see that the "it's our fault" step has been accepted as proven yet except in a specific area of science and other areas of science don't seem to corroborate its findings. So bankrupting the global economy to make changes that have no effect to the problem is really a waste of resources.

gnolam
Member #2,030
March 2002
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raynebc said:

I don't see that the "it's our fault" step has been accepted as proven

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{"name":"a0gL6Rc.png","src":"\/\/djungxnpq2nug.cloudfront.net\/image\/cache\/5\/a\/5aaa70cd081d3f0ede92e4e529e69eb0.png","w":1391,"h":940,"tn":"\/\/djungxnpq2nug.cloudfront.net\/image\/cache\/5\/a\/5aaa70cd081d3f0ede92e4e529e69eb0"}a0gL6Rc.png

:P

Quote:

other areas of science don't seem to corroborate its findings

[citation needed]

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Karadoc ~~
Member #2,749
September 2002
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For information about arctic sea ice, I like this site. It has easy to read graphs created from accurate and up-to-date data, without any kind of speculation or loaded explanation.

Anyway, based on the current graphs, there's a bit more sea ice this year than last year, but it's still well below the long-term average. I wouldn't call that 'global cooling'.

I know there's some cold stuff going on in the north, but in Australia, 2013 was our hottest year on record; and the start of 2014 has been very hot so far as well. So I certainly wouldn't be betting on global cooling.

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Thomas Fjellstrom
Member #476
June 2000
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The short term weather has also been a lot more volatile as best I can tell. Lots of big storms. And here, we've had it go from -50c up to +10c in a matter of a few weeks. With the temperature changing 10c in a given day.

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Thomas Fjellstrom - [website] - [email] - [Allegro Wiki] - [Allegro TODO]
"If you can't think of a better solution, don't try to make a better solution." -- weapon_S
"The less evidence we have for what we believe is certain, the more violently we defend beliefs against those who don't agree" -- https://twitter.com/neiltyson/status/592870205409353730

raynebc
Member #11,908
May 2010

gnolam, my understanding is those charts represent the consensus of AGW among climate scientists specifically and not all scientists. If you can prove otherwise, then by all means do so.

Thomas Fjellstrom
Member #476
June 2000
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Asking a cosmologist about global warming is only slightly better than asking any one of us ::) it's not their area of expertise.

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Thomas Fjellstrom - [website] - [email] - [Allegro Wiki] - [Allegro TODO]
"If you can't think of a better solution, don't try to make a better solution." -- weapon_S
"The less evidence we have for what we believe is certain, the more violently we defend beliefs against those who don't agree" -- https://twitter.com/neiltyson/status/592870205409353730

raynebc
Member #11,908
May 2010

If global warming was a certainty, there should be plenty of evidence that other sciences can regularly validate. It's hard to take either side completely seriously when the data has to be doctored to "correct" it.

Thomas Fjellstrom
Member #476
June 2000
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Are you aware of how complex the climate is? And most of the other sciences? Most scientists don't actually know much of anything about fields other than their own. You have to specialize to an insane degree to get anything done.

There are people who study just worm dna, and stuff like that.

--
Thomas Fjellstrom - [website] - [email] - [Allegro Wiki] - [Allegro TODO]
"If you can't think of a better solution, don't try to make a better solution." -- weapon_S
"The less evidence we have for what we believe is certain, the more violently we defend beliefs against those who don't agree" -- https://twitter.com/neiltyson/status/592870205409353730

type568
Member #8,381
March 2007
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raynebc said:

It's hard to take either side completely seriously when the data has to be doctored to "correct" it.

I think it almost deserves being siged.
I did add it to my note of favorite quotes though.

kikabo
Member #3,679
July 2003
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Thanks guys, I didn't consider that most people would believe that the root of climate change was either 100% caused by nature or 100% caused by man. It makes sense how people argue about it now.

Thomas Fjellstrom
Member #476
June 2000
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Too many people allow their opinions to be shaped by extremist groups. It's retarded to think that something is only black, or only white.

--
Thomas Fjellstrom - [website] - [email] - [Allegro Wiki] - [Allegro TODO]
"If you can't think of a better solution, don't try to make a better solution." -- weapon_S
"The less evidence we have for what we believe is certain, the more violently we defend beliefs against those who don't agree" -- https://twitter.com/neiltyson/status/592870205409353730

Derezo
Member #1,666
April 2001
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I'd just like to point out that the current ice age is not over.

Anyway, it doesn't even matter what we blame it on. Even if it were shown beyond a shadow of a doubt that humans were the cause it would still continue because money.

"He who controls the stuffing controls the Universe"

Karadoc ~~
Member #2,749
September 2002
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Putting aside the precise causes of climate change, I think it's fair to say that the global climate is changing, and that the change involves generally warmer temperatures, longer draughts, bigger storms, higher sea-levels.

I think it's also fair to say that human activity contributes to this change. Maybe you think human activity accounts for 90% of the change, or maybe it's only 0.1% of the change. An important fact is that human activity is something we as humans can change, whereas other climate factors such as the earth's orbit and the energy output of the sun are not things we cannot change.

One way of looking at it is that human activity makes up 100% of the difference between the climate we have, and the climate we would have had in a world without any human activity. That's just a matter of definitions.

In any case, I think it's a good idea to try to calculate what effect human activity does have, and that's exactly what many climatologists are doing. There's not much point listening to guesses and speculation from business leaders and politicians. They only know what they've been told by experts, or what they've worked out from their high-school education and their intuition. Contributions from non-experts like that cannot be relied on as the basis for important decisions.

Here is yet another example of an expert suggesting that human-induced climate change is probably going to be a major problem for us in the future.

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Derezo
Member #1,666
April 2001
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I agree with your points. It seems self-evident that we are causing an unsustainable impact on our environment, climate change and otherwise.

Humans are an expensive fruit for the planet to bear, I guess.

I do think we will develop new technologies to help combat this issue, but I also think it will need economic pressures to reverse the trend.

The bottom line is money, and I think economic incentives are the primary opposition to climate change. People love to spend energy and pay all kinds of money for it.

"He who controls the stuffing controls the Universe"

bamccaig
Member #7,536
July 2006
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It really is kind of weird for a guy that is so invested in technology to cringe at the mention, but I do. I don't think that technology is going to be a quick fix. We certainly should invest in it, but I think that if we put all of our eggs in that basket then it's going to break.

"Money" is what got us into this mess. Money is a virtual thing so we need to keep that in mind. We don't need "incentives". That just sounds like padding executive officers' already inflated bonuses. I think that what we really need is governments to tax the fuels that are harming the environment, and to crack down on the corporations (and individuals!) that are getting rich from the environmental harm.

The problem is that the layman sees it as "gas prices are too high!" and the like. And frankly, we need leaders that are willing to overlook those FWP pleas and do what is needed to make actual change. We don't need to do a lot of the things that we do do. And yes, they are nice to haves, but we're at a point where we're concerned about our great grandchildren even being able to sustain themselves. Does it really matter if we have the luxuries that we do today?

Now, if by "incentives" you mean that renewable energies are given breaks, great, but ultimately the technology really isn't there yet to let those compete with the harmful fuels of our past century. And that's what people know. That is where the real power of money comes in. Start making those fuels in all forms, from the gasoline at the pump to the electricity flowing through the grid from the coal power plant too expensive to waste and people will be forced to conserve it. Of course, you run into competition issues with other nations. We need cooperation worldwide, but at the same time we really can't expect the developing nations to cooperate because they won't be suffering FWPs (even if in part it is their own fault). It's a political nightmare. Not to mention, you firstly need a transparent government so that you can be sure that the resources that are acquired are distributed intelligently instead of making public officials another form of over-paid executive officer.

I don't know. It's a complicated problem, and I don't have all of the answers, but I certainly don't trust our current politics, or economies, to solve it. We need to invest in smart people, and deter waste.

Derezo
Member #1,666
April 2001
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bamccaig said:

We don't need "incentives". That just sounds like padding executive officers' already inflated bonuses.

My argument is not that it should be that way, or that we need it, or that I think banksters should be allowed to live and breathe among the rest of us. That's just how it is right now. He who controls the spice....

Economic incentives can vary. Things like green bonds are one item, or there was something about captain trade that I remember being a hot topic?

Money might be virtual, but humans still get pretty damn excited about it. How virtual is that?

"He who controls the stuffing controls the Universe"

bamccaig
Member #7,536
July 2006
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Today I watched two documentaries that I found very alarming. The first was about the inhumane treatment of orca whales (killer whales) by popular theme parts like Sea World and Sea Land. The second was (is since I'm not quite finished it, but plenty enraged) about the shortage of water in the Southern USA (e.g., California) where they begin to contemplate global warming as well as their greedy consumption of too much water for the Earth to give them. Then they dry up and start begging for water to be piped across the country to save them. My general reaction to it all is kill them all with fire. To be fair, most of the civilians are just idiots that don't know any better. Anybody making a profit should be slain, and their offspring and possibly cousins should be slain to set an example that greedy affairs are not profitable. >:( Basically I have an extremely low opinion of humanity right now. I'm starting to think that the "terrorists" really are the good guys in all of this, but America is just an extreme example. We all need to pay attention to our wastefulness (and if you're going to waste resources waste them on exterminating the most wasteful population on the planet).

Derezo
Member #1,666
April 2001
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Blame many and trust few?

bamccaig said:

My general reaction to it all is kill them all with fire.

Hang 'em all and they will multiply.

"Hate begets hate".

We are individuals. Compassion is the answer.

"He who controls the stuffing controls the Universe"

bamccaig
Member #7,536
July 2006
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Derezo
Member #1,666
April 2001
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That doesn't sound very compassionate to me :P

"He who controls the stuffing controls the Universe"

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