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The debt ceiling |
Trent Gamblin
Member #261
April 2000
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Of course not. They're part of the constitution.
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BAF
Member #2,981
December 2002
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I wish I could opt out of social security. I don't need nor want the government's retirement package. Nevermind the fact that it will be even more beyond bankrupt by the time I'm of age to collect, if it even exists, it's a pretty crappy plan with stupid limitations. Let me manage my own money - the government can't even manage their own. |
Matthew Leverton
Supreme Loser
January 1999
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Trent Gamblin said: Of course not. They're part of the constitution. So do you have the right to riot, or is it mandatory? BAF said: I wish I could opt out of social security If you invested 10% of a meager $30,000 salary for 50 years and got average return rates, you'd end up with 1.2 MILLION dollars of personal savings. That would last you 40 years at your $30,000 salary. And that still leaves 2% to 3% (since SS is more than 10%) that could be left for social programs for those who (really) cannot work. |
Thomas Fjellstrom
Member #476
June 2000
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Matthew Leverton said: So do you have the right to riot, or is it mandatory? THIS. IS. CANADA. Of course its mandatory. Honestly, what were you thinking? -- |
Edgar Reynaldo
Major Reynaldo
May 2007
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Matthew Leverton said: If you invested 10% of a meager $30,000 salary for 50 years and got average return rates, you'd end up with 1.2 MILLION dollars of personal savings. That would last you 40 years at your $30,000 salary. Math check : (30,000 * 1/10) * 50 * ~1.1 = 165,000 That's approximately 5 1/2 years of living once you retire, assuming you keep spending money at the same rate. And for the people who can't afford to save any money - the people who barely get by paying their bills? WTF do they do when they turn 65? Social security is a good idea, and at least gives a small safety net to those with nothing. The real problem is when Government borrows money from programs like social security and medicare, because they never pay it back. The government owes itself about 4.7 trillion dollars, borrowing from Peter to pay Paul. My Website! | EAGLE GUI Library Demos | My Deviant Art Gallery | Spiraloid Preview | A4 FontMaker | Skyline! (Missile Defense) Eagle and Allegro 5 binaries | Older Allegro 4 and 5 binaries | Allegro 5 compile guide |
relpatseht
Member #5,034
September 2004
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You're reading the problem wrong, Edgar. 1double total = 3000.0;
2for(int t=0; t<50; ++t)
3{
4 total *= 1.067;
5 total += 3000.0;
6}
7// total ~= 1178239
That is, assuming it is compounded yearly.
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Edgar Reynaldo
Major Reynaldo
May 2007
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Well, I may have underestimated the effects of compound interest, but you're being rather generous with your figures. 1
2#include <cstdio>
3#include <cstdlib>
4
5
6int main(int argc , char** argv) {
7 if (argc != 4) {printf("Error.\n");}
8
9 double saved = atof(argv[1]);
10 double rate = atof(argv[2]);
11 int years = atoi(argv[3]);
12
13 double total = 0;
14 for (int i = 1 ; i <= years ; ++i) {
15 total += saved;
16 total *= rate;
17 }
18
19 printf ("Total savings after saving %lf per year for %i years at %lf interest rate is :\n" , saved , years , rate);
20 printf("%lf\n" , total);
21
22 return 0;
23}
Where do you think you're going to get a 6.7% return on your investment? Only lucky stock brokers make that much. More likely you get at most 4%, and most people who earn 30,000 a year have to go through at least 2 or 3 years of school. 65 - 21 = 44 years of saving. So, $3,000 at 4% for 44 years : And at 30,000 a year that's still only 12 years. Hope you don't want to live past 77, or else you can go live in the street. And none of that accounts for the people who can't afford to save any money to begin with. Might as well send them off to the glue factory when they hit 65, because they won't have anything to live on. My Website! | EAGLE GUI Library Demos | My Deviant Art Gallery | Spiraloid Preview | A4 FontMaker | Skyline! (Missile Defense) Eagle and Allegro 5 binaries | Older Allegro 4 and 5 binaries | Allegro 5 compile guide |
relpatseht
Member #5,034
September 2004
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Well, honestly, I was pulling interest rates out of my ass trying to come up with a figure close to ML's with a yearly compound and without actually doing any work. Regardless, your figures are a bit off again. 1double total = 360088.18;
2int t = 0;
3
4while(total > 0.0)
5{
6 total -= 27000; // They were only spending 27,000 per year before.
7 total *= 1.04;
8 ++t;
9}
10// t = 19
So, at 4% for 44 years they have 18 years of savings before they hit debt, which puts them at 83 years old. Granted, six years isn't much of a difference, but it is just enough to put the bar past the average life expectancy (in the US, at least).
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Arthur Kalliokoski
Second in Command
February 2005
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The masses have found out they can vote themselves bread and circuses. It'll take another few decades before they have any sense again. They all watch too much MSNBC... they get ideas. |
Jonatan Hedborg
Member #4,886
July 2004
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To complicate the calculations further - most people earn less in the beginning of their careers than in the end. If 10% at the first year is only 1000$, it "becomes" 1000 * 1.04^50 = 7107$, compared to 21320$ if it was 3000$. The total difference shouldn't be that big, but it's still valid. You also need to take inflation into account (it's usually around 2% in Sweden, no idea about the US). What's the "living wage" in the US btw? There is also the question of "helping people helping themselves" - someone might not start saving money until their 30s, since it seems so far off and there are more fun things to do with that money
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van_houtte
Member #11,605
January 2010
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*L0Ling at usa ----- Sometimes you may have to send 3-4 messages |
piccolo
Member #3,163
January 2003
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I thought the OP was a song. You guys are blind. The USA was planing to get rid of their debt by going to war with China. However China new this and countered. China has used its money and man power to rooted it self in many nations starting and paying for programs and building relationships. Its same thing the USA used to do. So in the invent of a war they have many countries on their side. China makes its military mite known however they do not storm into conflit playing the role of a responsible big bother. What the use is trying to do is turn everyone against China so they can have their war and get rid of the debt. Then India will be the new China. You ask why does USA need a "China"? Its because that's the only way to make and sell things so cheaply to the the people in the USA and to the contries that USA plays The role of the middle man too. wow |
Matthew Leverton
Supreme Loser
January 1999
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My figures are pessimistic:
If you want to base it off of 40 solid years of working (25-65) with a intro salary of $30,000 and give yourself a 2% raise every year, you would have about $1 million in savings. If you moved the money into a safer, lower yield interest rate of around 4% at retirement, you could spend almost $40,000 / year and not lose any money! You could live to infinity. Edgar Reynaldo said: And none of that accounts for the people who can't afford to save any money to begin with. You miss the point entirely! The government already takes around 12% of your income for Social Security and related programs. (Note that your employer pays around 6% of that, but in reality, it's just coming out of your paycheck too.) If the government didn't take out that 12%, you would be free to invest it yourself. Jonatan Hedborg said: There is also the question of "helping people helping themselves" I understand that principle, and I think it is a smart one because you are right. The poor or stupid person would use Edgar's silly logic and not save the extra 12% they now have. But let me opt out of the "personal savings" aspect of SS, because I'm smart enough to save more money than the government will ever be able to give me via SS. |
Jonatan Hedborg
Member #4,886
July 2004
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Is there an economy of scale at play here? Can the government (at least in theory) use the money in a better way than even a smart person could? If they were to invest the money, surely they could get better returns? And if they simply make the current workers pay for the last generation of workers, they would get around the issue of inflation, and avoid giving money to banks needlessly. The problem with this is that the system can never stop...
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Trent Gamblin
Member #261
April 2000
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Matthew Leverton said: So do you have the right to riot, or is it mandatory? It's never stated explicitly that it's mandatory, but every good Canadian knows it's riot or GTFO.
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ImLeftFooted
Member #3,935
October 2003
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Matthew Leverton said: I understand that principle, and I think it is a smart one because you are right. The poor or stupid person would use Edgar's silly logic and not save the extra 12% they now have. But let me opt out of the "personal savings" aspect of SS, because I'm smart enough to save more money than the government will ever be able to give me via SS. We need to shackle people like you from making smart investments with your money because it makes dumb people look bad. That's why we have to force everyone to do the same mediocre investment scheme (Social Security) to equalize everyone's retirement into a semi-crappy one. What's 12% of your lives' income in comparison to making us all look the same regardless of how smart each of us is. |
Matthew Leverton
Supreme Loser
January 1999
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Jonatan Hedborg said: Can the government (at least in theory) use the money in a better way than even a smart person could? If they were to invest the money, surely they could get better returns? This is the government ... of course they cannot use the money better than a smart person. How can you invest money when you are immediately paying out more in benefits than you are collecting because this generation of workers is smaller than the number of retired people, and when the previous generation was larger you didn't save any of it? (This hasn't quite happened yet, but in a few years it will be losing money.) |
SiegeLord
Member #7,827
October 2006
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Dustin Dettmer said: We need to shackle people like you from making smart investments with your money because it makes dumb people look bad. That's why we have to force everyone to do the same mediocre investment scheme (Social Security) to equalize everyone's retirement into a semi-crappy one. What's 12% of your lives' income in comparison to making us all look the same regardless of how smart they are. Yeah, because all smart people want to do is figure out how to get themselves richer, instead of actually tackling hard questions in science, medicine and other fields. I'd gladly take some (or a lot) of government inefficiency in exchange for being able to focus on what's actually important. "For in much wisdom is much grief: and he that increases knowledge increases sorrow."-Ecclesiastes 1:18 |
Jonatan Hedborg
Member #4,886
July 2004
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Matthew Leverton said: This is the government ... of course they cannot use the money better than a smart person. That's just a non-argument. "The government is by default made of fail". Of COURSE it could, in theory, be better than a smart person at investing. They could hire good investors, for one. This assumes that investors are actually better than chance at investing (I was some report claiming otherwise recently). But my questions were not rhetorical - I'm curious as to if there are benefits of scale when it comes to investments. I guess that's why there are collective investment schemes. Of course, if the current pool of workers is smaller than the previous one, either the current one will have to pay more or it would have to be solved in some other way.
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ImLeftFooted
Member #3,935
October 2003
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SiegeLord said: Yeah, because all smart people want to do is figure out how to get themselves richer, instead of actually tackling hard questions in science, medicine and other fields. I'd gladly take some (or a lot) of government inefficiency in exchange for being able to focus on what's actually important. Yeah! Rich people are bad at science, all they know is money. We should raise SS to 24% use that money to pay scientists to discover science and medicine. The 7B/year with 0 revenue the government spends on science now is absurd! By doubling SS we can raise that to 700B/year and it can start getting real science done. Private industry sucks, Genetech spends 6B/year (10B revenue) has only cured some kinds of cancer. And insulin is a crap invention, it's just making the rich richer. The government needs to take over. Take a look at what it's discovered with it's 7B in taxes: http://www.nsf.gov/discoveries/disc_summ.jsp?cntn_id=114372&org=NSF They've got things like:
Who needs insulin, asthma treatments, blot clot treatments, cystic fibrosis treatments and cancer treatments when I can have the Platypus genome? |
SiegeLord
Member #7,827
October 2006
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Wow, Dustin... I wish the Daily Show did a segment on you. "For in much wisdom is much grief: and he that increases knowledge increases sorrow."-Ecclesiastes 1:18 |
gnolam
Member #2,030
March 2002
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Dustin Dettmer said: insulin
You mean the hormone that was discovered, developed into a treatment, and synthesized at state-funded universities? -- |
ImLeftFooted
Member #3,935
October 2003
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Solid arguments, both of you. |
Thomas Fjellstrom
Member #476
June 2000
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See I thought he was being facetious. Maybe I'm just a sarcastic bastard, I dunno. -- |
Matthew Leverton
Supreme Loser
January 1999
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Jonatan Hedborg said: Of COURSE it could, in theory, be better than a smart person at investing. In theory, an individual with a direct personal interest will do better than a politician seeking to win re-election. Show me a government that actually exists to serve its people for the "greater good," and then, in theory, I may agree with you. But why does the government need to be in charge of investing money? Why not just mandate that 10% of the first $100,000 your pre-tax income must be placed into a personal retirement fund? You can then take 3% more for disability insurance. With the current situation, you must a) cut benefits or b) raise taxes. And since the typical politician only cares about getting re-elected (because it is his career), doing either of those two things are bad. SiegeLord said: Yeah, because all smart people want to do is figure out how to get themselves richer I'm not against an optional government personal savings plan for those who cannot be bothered to invest in private options. It's your loss, not mine. |
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