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8.8 Earthquake in Japan
type568
Member #8,381
March 2007
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,molanG are you a nuclear physicist?

miran
Member #2,407
June 2002

Oh yeah, I got that wrong. But then again, I'm only a programmer and don't really need to know that stuff. :P

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GullRaDriel
Member #3,861
September 2003
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Miran is from Slovenia, where every guy already heat his house with a nuclear plant in the ground.

Gnolam is just eating with his nuclear knife.

;D

Anyway allegro.cc have the best informations on the subject, that community is incredible: we always have a tech ^^

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Neil Walker
Member #210
April 2000
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type568 said:

molanG are you a nuclear physicist

He learnt everything from Wikipedia.

Neil.
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OICW
Member #4,069
November 2003
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Nope, miran is working in a Slovenian NPP and gnolam has something to do with nuclear physicists.

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type568
Member #8,381
March 2007
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miran said:

Oh yeah, I got that wrong. But then again, I'm only a programmer and don't really need to know that stuff.

I guess Chernobyl power plant was programmed by guys thinking your way -.-'

axilmar
Member #1,204
April 2001

gnolam
Member #2,030
March 2002
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I'm just an ordinary renaissance man. ;)

HardTranceFan: "While nuclear causes calamities when it goes wrong, coal causes calamities when it goes right, and coal goes right a lot more often than nuclear goes wrong."

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Arthur Kalliokoski
Second in Command
February 2005
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Maybe Gnolam is researching this stuff for his next game! :o

They all watch too much MSNBC... they get ideas.

Polybios
Member #12,293
October 2010

gnolam said:

HardTranceFan: "While nuclear causes calamities when it goes wrong, coal causes calamities when it goes right, and coal goes right a lot more often than nuclear goes wrong."

Yaaaawn. ::)

As I have pointed out before, the choice is NOT only between nuclear and coal. You can discontinue to spread this idea of perilous dilemma, although you may personally like the sinister feeling of it. 8-)

Again:

  • Wind energy yields enough electricity on average, if combined over large areas. The point is to adapt power networks to be able to cope with fluctuating supply, which is facilitated by the fact that wind forecasts are highly reliable

  • as Matthew saw it, windmills can be placed on farmlands etc., there's no need for centralisation, so there is little wasted space

  • In case there shouldn't be enough wind/sun at all, combined cycle gas turbine (CCGT) plants can be used as backup. They are small, more efficient (nearly 60%) than coal plants (about 31-38%) (and nuclear: 30-40%), therefore emit less CO² per kWh and, as I may presume, also less radioactivity. Furthermore, they're comparatively cheap, able to start/shut down completely (meaning from 0% to 100%) in short time (unlike coal/nuclear), which makes them attractive as backup-power. Even when there should not be any natural gas left, they can then be powered with biogas, which should be the long term focus anyway. The main component of biogas, the actual fuel, is methane. The effect of methane as greenhouse gas is 20-30times worse than CO². So it's a very good idea to burn it to get CO² and water... Consequently, in long term perspective, the gas networks should be adapted to be able to receive biogas decentrally.

  • solar cells can be made of different materials, not all of which are short of supply; they are also recyclable up to about 90%

  • these roads taken and measures applied, we should need considerably less nuclear and/or coal; when combined with measures to reduce power consumption (a lot of power is wasted anyway -> stand-by mode of devices for example), it should be possible to get rid of them completely

Reasons for shutting down/not building coal plants:

  • CO²

  • radioactive emissions

Reasons for shutting down/not building nuclear plants:

  • plants are damn expensive (and take a long time to build)

  • the residual risk will never be zero, especially because it's men operating them and corporations, formed by men, needing to make necessary investments to increase security (which was not done, by the way, in Fukushima, as Toshiba-engineer Masashi Goto testifies)

  • if something goes wrong, there's the still the possibility it goes wrong in a way words can hardly describe

  • attempts to attack plants by plane are often not taken into account by security measures (around here, the allegedly highly effective counter-measure is spreading ...fog! ::) )

  • earthquakes/tsunamis are highly unpredictable; reliable records of earthquakes and their intensity have existed for about 100-150 years, whereas earthquakes certainly do exist much longer. ::) So, the phrase "We've taken all known data into account, it's safe!" is, as Fukushima proves, highly insufficient and not even rational.

  • uranium mining is quite ugly, to say the least

Okay, that's all what comes to my mind at the moment... :)

Slartibartfast
Member #8,789
June 2007
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Crazy Photon
Member #2,588
July 2002
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Polybios said:

Reasons for shutting down/not building nuclear plants:
* plants are damn expensive (and take a long time to build)
* the residual risk will never be zero, especially because it's men operating them and corporations, formed by men, needing to make necessary investments to increase security (which was not done, by the way, in Fukushima, as Toshiba-engineer Masashi Goto testifies)
* if something goes wrong, there's the still the possibility it goes wrong in a way words can hardly describe

The same could be said about any mission critical / advanced systems (e.g. airplanes, space travel, the Internet, particle accelerators like the LHC)... We may as well go back to the stone age if we want to feel "safe".

Quote:

* attempts to attack plants by plane are often not taken into account by security measures (around here, the allegedly highly effective counter-measure is spreading ...fog!)

The same could be said for all types of power plants. And it's more of a human issue than a technology issue (see 9/11).

Quote:

earthquakes/tsunamis are highly unpredictable; reliable records of earthquakes and their intensity have existed for about 100-150 years, whereas earthquakes certainly do exist much longer. So, the phrase "We've taken all known data into account, it's safe!" is, as Fukushima proves, highly insufficient and not even rational.

And what is a more rational argument? and again, not exclusive to nuclear power plants. For instance, after the quake, the Fukushima dam also broke down, flooding the city. By the same token we should not also build big buildings (e.g. skyscrapers).

My point here is that one can never be 100% safe, even when you take all the known precautions.

EDIT: Also, another fact not to build Coal Plants is that they pollute quite a lot (much more than other kinds of plants).

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Polybios
Member #12,293
October 2010

My point here is that one can never be 100% safe, even when you take all the known precautions.

Exactly my point!

While a plane crash, a burst of a dam etc. can be recovered from within one generation or two, a severe nuclear accident contaminates not only the environment our grand-grand-..............-grand-children will have to live in, but also severly endangers human DNA itself. You can't say this applies to an ordinary plane crash (not crashing into a nuclear plant, of course...).

Your line of argument would be: Nothing is safe, let's jump out of the window then, because that isn't safe either... Perfectly right ???

Crazy Photon
Member #2,588
July 2002
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Polybios said:

a severe nuclear accident contaminates not only the environment our grand-grand-..............-grand-children will have to live in, but also severly endangers human DNA itself

Agreed on that.

Quote:

Your line of argument would be: Nothing is safe, let's jump out of the window then, because that isn't safe either...

;D

Not really, I think it's better to accept that life is not without risks.

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Polybios
Member #12,293
October 2010

Not really, I think it's better to accept that life is not without risks.

Quite right, so why build additional giga-risks? ::)

Thomas Fjellstrom
Member #476
June 2000
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Polybios said:

Quite right, so why build additional giga-risks?

You're clearly biased... Modern Nuclear plants aren't "giga-risks".

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Tobias Dammers
Member #2,604
August 2002
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Quote:

CO²

Remember that pet peeve thread? This is one of mine. It's Cee-Oh-Subscript-Two. CO2. Not Cee-Oh-Two (CO2), and definitely not Cee-Oh-Squared (CO²).

Not knowing how to do a subscript is excusable in certain situation, but deliberately using superscript instead is just wrong. And if you're afraid of getting it wrong, you can always spell it out.

It's 'Carbon dioxide', one part carbon with two ("di-") parts oxygen ("oxide").

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Polybios
Member #12,293
October 2010

Sorry for getting the CO2 wrong. I promise, I will never do it again. :'(

You're clearly biased... Modern Nuclear plants aren't "giga-risks".

He who is without bias shall throw the first...

This 'giga-risk' was only a short, laconic reply, out of context. You know that, too. But: interesting strategy of argumentation.

The problem is not how the plant itself looks on paper/in theory (there are, however, as I've pointed out, problems with 'earthquake data'). The problem is constant operation by humans over long time, humans deciding whether to upgrade security or not etc. There are various reasons for suboptimal behavior by humans (cost/profit, corruption, stupidity, ...). That does not even necessarily concern the engineers.
You will never have a plant without all that.

But I feel I shouldn't try to argue with you anyway, because... you don't argue at all and ... well, I guess you seem to be quite biased. :-/

gnolam
Member #2,030
March 2002
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Death toll so far from the earthquake and tsunami: 5000 and rising.
Number of which have been radiation-related in any way: 0.

Polybios said:

Your line of argument would be: Nothing is safe, let's jump out of the window then, because that isn't safe either... Perfectly right

The straw man is strong in this one...

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Matthew Leverton
Supreme Loser
January 1999
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gnolam said:

Death toll so far from the earthquake and tsunami: 5000 and rising.
Number of which have been radiation-related in any way: 0.

Yes, if more people understood that, there'd be less of a problem with media-scare.

However, radiation can also contaminate the environment for a long time which is worse (in some aspects) than landscape altering natural disasters. But, obviously (I hope), the property damage caused by the natural disasters will exceed the damaged caused by radiation, at least in terms of total area and money.

Tobias Dammers
Member #2,604
August 2002
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(I hope), the property damage caused by the natural disasters will exceed the damaged caused by radiation

The way you put it doesn't sound exactly compassionate.

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Matthew Leverton
Supreme Loser
January 1999
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The way you put it doesn't sound exactly compassionate.

Eh, what? We already know what the property damage is. If the radiation is worse than that, then well, Japan is doomed. :P

Kitty Cat
Member #2,815
October 2002
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video

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Neil Black
Member #7,867
October 2006
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It still sounds kind of bad. Out of context, it could be mistaken for you saying you want more property damage (especially with the way the threat of radiation is being played up by the media. It would have been better to hope that the radiation damage is less than the property damage.

Not that you should really care. We all know what you meant, and no one else will ever read it. And you also shouldn't have to tailor your words so stupid people won't misunderstand and hate you.

BAF
Member #2,981
December 2002
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And you also shouldn't have to tailor your words so stupid people won't misunderstand and hate you.

Quite the opposite really. I typically try and tailor my words to be highly offensive to anyone who even slightly misunderstands what I'm saying. 8-)



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